Breakfast for 40 cents: what China’s deflation looks like

Customers are flocking to Nanchengxiang restaurants in Beijing, where they can enjoy a breakfast buffet of three types of rice porridge, sour and spicy soup, and milk, all for just 3 yuan ($0.40). This surge in budget-friendly options has emerged during the pandemic, providing an array of affordable choices for consumers. However, the intense competition and price wars among lower-end restaurant chains could negatively impact smaller businesses that struggle to match the discounts offered by larger players.

Deflation has become evident in the Chinese market, as consumers’ limited appetite for spending has created a challenging environment for businesses. This prolonged period of deflation, as witnessed by Japan in the 1990s, has the potential to hinder economic growth. In order to attract customers, these businesses are under pressure to offer compelling deals that still allow them to maintain reasonable profit margins.

Unlike Western countries, where government support was extended to individuals during the pandemic, the Chinese population had to rely largely on their own financial resources. With limited wage increases, uncertain job prospects, and a sluggish economy, consumers are hesitant to spend. In this current economic climate, discount strategies that provide consumers with better value for their money align with their needs.

Restaurants such as Nanchengxiang have seen a surge in customer traffic since launching their 3 yuan deal in May. However, the company declined to disclose information regarding their profit margins and business strategy. Similarly, Beijing-based burger franchise Xishaoye has also advertised lower prices, with some items priced as low as 10 yuan. Yum China, the operator of KFC in the country, has introduced a menu option of a burger, snack, and drink for 19.9 yuan. While customer traffic has returned, spending per person has decreased, reflecting the cautiousness of consumers in the wake of the pandemic.

One restaurant worker, Dong, expressed his financial concerns by choosing not to purchase anything at a wet market in central Beijing. With a mortgage and a child to support, he is forced to be more cautious with his spending. This sentiment is shared by many consumers who are adjusting to the current economic circumstances.

In conclusion, the emergence of budget-friendly options in the Chinese restaurant industry reflects the challenges posed by deflation and consumer caution in the aftermath of the pandemic. While these discounted offerings attract customers, smaller businesses are struggling to keep up with the discounts offered by larger players. The impact of this deflationary environment on China’s economic growth remains to be seen.

 

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