Maruti, TaMo, M&M: How to trade auto stocks post UP govt hybrid car offer | News on Markets


Shares of automobile companies, mainly hybrid car makers like Maruti Suzuki in India, are likely to be in focus on Tuesday July 09 following the registration fee waiver by the UP (Uttar Pradesh) state government.


According to automobile industry sources, the on-road prices of strong hybrid cars have decreased by up to Rs 4 lakh in Uttar Pradesh after the state government decided to waive registration fee on them in a bid to promote green technology.


Among listed players, Maruti Suzuki India is one of the leading car makers in the Indian hybrid market. 


Maruti and Toyota, the other major hybrid car manufacturer in India are advocating for cuts in taxes on hybrid cars, while local manufacturers like Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) are pushing for full EV (Electric Vehicle) adoption. READ MORE


Meanwhile, as per another report by Business Standard, the government is likely to roll out electric vehicle policy guidelines by the end of September this year. 

The plan includes provisions for reduced duties on imported cars contingent on committed funding. READ MORE


Against this background, what should your trading strategy be in auto stocks? Here’s a guide based on the technical charts of key auto shares in India.


Maruti Suzuki


Last close: Rs 12,024


Downside Risk: 6.9%


Support: Rs 11,960; Rs 11,900


Resistance: Rs 12,320; Rs 12,500


Maruti Suzuki stock has been a stark underperformer in the last two months or so. The stock has declined over 6 per cent since the end of April 2024, and failed to register a new high even as the benchmark Nifty 50 did so. In comparison, the Nifty 50 index has gained 7.6 per cent in the same period.

Given the underperformance, Maruti stock has slipped below its key moving averages on the daily and the weekly chart. The near-term bias on the daily scale is negative, as the stock trades below its 20-, 50- and 100-DMA (Daily Moving Average). Further, the 20-DMA at Rs 12,320, is below the 50-DMA, which stands at Rs 12,510 and now seems on course to dip below the 100-DMA at Rs 12,200. CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART


That apart, the stock is seen trading below its 20-WMA (Weekly Moving Average) for the third straight week. The 20-WMA stands at RS 12,325, which more or less coincides with the 20-DMA. Maruti will need to cross and sustain consistently above this key level in order to revive hopes of a recovery at the counter. Further, the stock will need to clear the hurdle at Rs 12,500 to negate the existing bearish bias.


On the flip side, failure to overcome these near-term challenges could exert downward pressure on the stock, and as such Maruti stock may slide to Rs 11,200 levels. The recent lows around Rs 11,900 – Rs 11,960 may act as immediate supports.


Tata Motors


Last close: Rs 1,003


Bias: Range-bound


Trading Range: Rs 920 – Rs 1,040


Support: Rs 975; Rs 950


Resistance: Rs 1,010

Tata Motors stock has been trading sideways since the start of March 2024. The stock has broadly moved in a band of Rs 920 – Rs 1,040. At present, the stock seems to be trading near the higher-end of the existing trading band. CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART


Technically, the stock is likely to exhibit a range-bound trend, unless and until there is a clear breakout in either direction. Interim support for the stock exists at Rs 975 and Rs 950; whereas, resistance is seen at Rs 1,010 levels.


Momentum oscillators on the long-term chart are showing signs of exhaustion; hence one needs to be watchful at higher levels. 


Mahindra & Mahindra 


Last close: Rs 2,851


Downside Risk: 9.7%


Support: Rs 2,775; Rs 2,715


Resistance: Rs 2,900; Rs 2,940


Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) stock has been consistently testing support at its 20-DMA for the last eight trading sessions. The stock on Monday ended a wee bit below the 20-DMA, which stands at Rs 2,855. Further, momentum oscillators on the daily and weekly chart seem unfavourable at the moment; hence, the 20-DMA becomes a pivot for the stock.

In case, the stock fails to sustain above the 20-DMA, it can dip towards the super trend line support at Rs 2,715; below which a fall to Rs 2,575 level seems likely. Near support for the stock can be expected around Rs 2,775 – the lower-end of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart. On the upside, the stock is likely to face resistance around Rs 2,900 and Rs 2,940. CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART 

First Published: Jul 09 2024 | 9:13 AM IST

 

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